Discover
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#1
- Initial NFL Picks:
As early
in the week as possible, make a list of the coming games and
make your selections. Go with your best guess, gut feeling,
or whatever. Skip the games about which you are unsure. In making
NFL picks, whether you are an expert or someone who just likes
to watch a game now and then, your first decision is often best.
#2
- The Undecideds:
Go back
and mark those NFL picks you are not sure about with a question
mark. With fewer decisions remaining, the focus on these games
is increased.
#3
- Pondering:
Tuck
your list into a convenient pocket and carry it with you. Look
it over several times a day. A minute or two twice a day is
far more helpful than an hour of study.
#4
- Gather Information:
Read newspapers.
If you come to know a given sports writer, you will be able
to pick up on the difference between his facts and opinions,
and on any bias present. And some publish their NFL picks. There
are some shows on TV that may help. Your best bet may be the
web. Sites such as CNN, CBS, and Nando.Net are very informative.
What others have to say is particularly helpful in thinking
about teams you do not follow or do not know much about.
#5
- Argue:
Get into
it about your undecided picks with a friend, or anyone interested.
Or argue with yourself! "The Bears will stomp Detroit."
"No they won't. Here's why." "How come I can't
make a simple decision like this?" While this may seem
an odd or novel idea, it is a real winner. It dramatically increases
the focus on the undecided games. And the greater the focus,
the more likely your final pick will be the right one.
#6-
The Line:
If it drops,
then heavy bucks have been placed on the underdog. If it goes
up, those bucks are going to the favorite. While public opinion
may mean little in many cases, this part of the public is backing
their opinion with dollars. If in doubt, you may want to go
along.
#7
- Decisions:
Make decisions
as possible. Every undecided you cross off the list leaves one
less pick to think about and increases the focus on those remaining.
As the list gets shorter, you can run down it mentally without
even looking at it.
#8
- Avoid Changes:
Be hesitant
to change any decision already made; more often than not it
will be a loser. This seems particularly true in making NFL
picks.
#9
- Put It Off:
Make final
decisions on the remaining undecided picks as late in the week
as possible. The greater the time between your initial consideration
and final decision, the greater the focus, and the better the
pick. A Note: There are lots of explanations as to why the idea
of increasing focus works. Many great minds have considered
unconscious thinking, instinct, intuition, and related concepts.
And many have done so at considerable length. While not all
agree about how it works, most agree that anything that brings
a greater focus on a decision, increases the chance the final
choice will be the best available.
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